Lech Poznan is not very interested in this competition at the moment. They have 4 losses in 6 games in the domestic league. They are suffering from post-success hangover. They won the title surprisingly, but the players hoped for transfers abroad, and now that most of the stars stayed with the team they are not willing to fight again as hard as last season.
For this game Lech will rotate the lineup, because the situation in the league is dramatic. Also they will not have much fans, because they are protesting against the UEFA decision of handing some of the ticket money to refugees.
Belenenses is a good team. Small teams from Portugal tend to perform good in Europa League, I remember Rio Ave from last season, they use strong squads because the level of money in EL makes a difference to them and because they have SA players to sell. Belenenses will have Luis Leal, ex APOEL and Carlos Martins (recovered after injury) in the starting line-up. These 2 are big improvements to an already well organized team. I especially like their defense, a very good one and a very good match up vs the leaky defense of Lech, who also have the “obligation” to attack because they are the hosts.
I will bet a +0.5 handicap for Belenenses, classic 8 units stake on my tip. Good luck!
Pick: Belenenses +0,5 handicap
Odds: 1.96
