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субота, 27. август 2016.

Tottenham vs Liverpool

Tottenham host Liverpool in this encounter knowing that Liverpool have won 5 out of their last 7 meetings so far. Tottenham will be relying a lot on their midfielders Lamela and Eriksen to create enough service for Harry Kane up front, who has yet to hit his stride after struggling to get enough service to put the ball in the back of the net. An interesting stat, Harry Kane has never scored a goal in August in the 3 Premier League seasons he's played so far. Tottenham will know that they take on a shaky Liverpool defence who shipped 2 goals last weekend to Burnley and 3 goals to Arsenal; and they are ripe of the taking. Lamela & Walker in particular should enjoy a good time with Milner playing at left back with Coutinho not offering much cover.


Liverpool looked a bit more like their offensive self after a strong 5-0 win against Burton in mid-week; but despite having 81% possession failed to find the back of the net against Burnley. Liverpool will take some confidence in this game knowing that they haven't lost to Tottenham in any of their last 7 games played with both fixtures being a draw last year. Klopp will potentially use this game as a yardstick to see how far his players have come along, and whether he needs to buy any players in the remaining days of the transfer window. Liverpool will rely a lot on Mane, Firmino, Coutinho and Origi up front to deliver much of the service. They will also feel that the Tottenham defence is up for the taking especially with Vorm in goal who can be susceptible to counter-attacking goals.


This game looks like the tie of the weekend, and I suspect both teams are going to be finding the back of the net, and we could be in for an exciting encounter.

Pick     BTTS & Over 2.5 goals Odds 1.95     Stake 7

петак, 26. август 2016.

Bayern vs Werder

Bayern are the big favorites and will decide in my view this match clearly for themselves. Ancelotti maybe has his system not transfered entirely to the club, but the quality of Bayern is already enough arguments here.


For me, the Handicap bets are maybe a good choice, as I believe anyway that Bayern will win and score majority of the goals, but I think that Bremen can score here also. The handicap betting on Bayern in my intuition tells me that Bayern can certainly gain advantage with more goals but they had luck against Dortmund and this is a first duel in Bundesliga which is also more pressure on Bayern as on Werder. For Werder Bremen is this a heavy start and they will go in the second matchday for the points collection. On opening day in Munich a point gain in any case would be a big surprise but a goal would not surprise me...

Pick     BTTS     Odds 2.38    Stake 8

четвртак, 25. август 2016.

St Etienne vs Beitar Jerusalem

St Etienne got a 2:1 victory away in Israel in the first leg of the play-off round against Beitar Jerusalem and now awaits the re-match game much more relaxed and in a role of complete favorite of progressing to the group stage. However, the game didn’t start positively for them, since Vered brought the hosts into the lead in eight minute, but the French side reacted very well within next twenty minutes.

Lemoine leveled up the result in fifteenth minute, while the visitors took the lead with an own goal from Rueda in 30th minute for the final 2:1 victory. Till the end of the game, it was Beitar who had more of the ball possession, but the Frenchmen were those who had more chances created, obviously waiting them on counter attacks. St Etienne have started with a defeat in Ligue 1, suffering 3:2 loss away to Bordeaux, but the impression was that the team only started playing later in the game as they were 3:0 down in 72nd and then managed to reduce the deficit, making impression that they could have won in case the team played the whole game like they did in last twenty minutes.

In the second round, they easily defeated Montpellier at home 3:1 last weekend. Hosts miss forward Alexander Soderlund (1/0), midfielders Benjamin Corgnet, Bryan Dabo (0/0) and left back Cheikh M’Bengue (1/0) due injuries.


Beitar Jerusalem, on the other side, comes into this game from a season opening match in their domestic league when the team took a point in a 2:2 draw away from home against Maccabi Petah Tikva. They took the lead twice, via Cohen in 9th and Vered in 29th minute, but the hosts found the way to reply both times within ten minutes.

The team had some good displays this Summer during the qualifiers for the Europa League, since they excluded Bosnian side Sloboda, Cypriots from Omonia and Jelgava in the third round, reaching the play-off stage for Europa League for the first time in their history. Now, after the defeat in the first leg, things are very difficult for them, but at least removes the pressure from their shoulders and the team can play a bit more relaxed now.

Their manager has no serious problem for this match, while the team brought in offensive French players Johan Audel (known for his performances for Nantes in last three years) who could start tonight.

St Etienne can’t afford to rotate their squad a lot for this game, as they keep a low profile since their coach said the game remains close to 50-50 as for the progress to the group stage. If the hosts play anything close like they did in Israel, or last weekend against Montpellier, this should be their easy victory. Way easier than what they got away from home in the first game.
Bet: St Etienne -1.25 Asian handicap @ 1.97

среда, 24. август 2016.

APOEL Nicosia vs Kobenhavn

APOEL will host Copenhagen in the second leg match of the final round of Champions league qualifications.


In their first game we have seen that Copenhagen has a lot more quality in their team. There were much better in that game and dominated during the whole 90 minutes. They only was poor in realization as they scored only once, they surely could score more goals in that game and secure their place into the group phase of the Champions league. However after only 1-0 from the first game they cannot relax and I expect a strong performance from them in this game too.


It is true that APOE playing much better at home ground where is not so easy to beat them, but they are not in very good form lately having 3 loses in last 4 matches, while they also look very poor offensively. On the other hand I think Copenhagen will try to defend their lead from the first game, so I thin this will be a low scoring game. However I think Copenhagen wil have more chances to score here from counters after APOEL start with stronger attacks so IMO value is on Copenhagen and draw no bet on them looks like a good option to bet on.


Pick     Copenhagen 0 AH Odds 1.96     Stake 8

уторак, 23. август 2016.

Peterborough vs Swansea

Peterborough did well in the first round of EFL Cup to get a victory over AFC Wimbledon two weeks ago at home with a 3:2 result. With a bit rotated squad, the visiting side took the lead in the first halftime, but the repetition completely belonged to much better hosts who gained the victory thanks to two goals from Nichols and one from Taylor. Both teams approached the game with a bit more offensive tactics than usually and we’ve seen one of better first round’s matches.

As for the League One competition, Peterborough has started with two victories and two defeats, as they come from a 2:1 defeat away to Oxford United last weekend, in a game where they could have earned more, but conceded the second goal in the third minute of additional time from a penalty spot. Prior to that, they won in an impressive way at home against Millwall and once again showing that they are way more effective and attacking side in front of own fans.

Defender Ryan Tafazolli (1/0) is doubtful for this game, while other defender, Jack Baldwin (4/0) can’t play here due suspension. Midfielders Bradd Inman and Lee Angol are both sidelined with injuries but also didn’t play so far in the season. Further rotation is also possible.


Swansea, on the other side, have started the season in a good way, with a 1:0 narrow victory away from home against Burnley, but failed to build up on that performance in the second round, when the team suffered 2:0 defeat at home against Hull City last weekend. However, it needs to be said that the final result isn’t reflecting true behavior on the field, since there’s no doubt that the players of Swansea were superior to their opponent.

Hosts tried with some ball possession and with many passes, but lacked finishing touch, while the visitors stood mostly behind the ball and waited for their chances via counter-attack. This time the tactics paid off to Hull, who managed to take the lead in 79th minute with a goal from Maloney. When the hosts tried to react, visiting side struck them once again, in second minute of additional tiem via Hernandez for the final 2:0 defeat. Swansea looked well during the pre-season matches and everyone expect good football from them this season, so there’s no doubt that the team will give their everything to get back on a winning track here.

Swansea’s coach Francesco Guidolin announced he will make some changes in the squad. Defender Neil Taylor could be playing here, while midfielder and team captain Leon Britton (1/0) remains doubtful. Surely out is forward Boja Baston who anyway didn’t play so far in the season.

As I said in my previous preview against Wimbledon, players of Peterborough are playing in a way more offensive way in front of home crowd and will surely want to get a positive outcome here and surely score a goal at least in the progress. Swansea needs to bounce back on a positive path and is alone able to score more than couple of goals. Three goals should be scored even easier than what the bookies currently represent.
Bet: Over 2.75 goals @ 1.84

субота, 20. август 2016.

Leicester vs Arsenal

Second round of the Premier League offers us another interesting game. Champions Leicester City takes on runner ups Arsenal after both teams failed their opening games.


Hosts Leicester lost last game somewhat surprisingly away against Hull City. The Foxes never really get into that game and Hull took an important 3 points in a tough game. Leicester City prepared well for the new season playing some good friendlies against the likes of Barcelona. They lost the super cup to Man United after Zlatan managed to get into the scoresheet. Still they left the feeling that they are in a decent form and likely to play well in the new season. Ranieri made Leicester champions last season mainly playing on the counter with loads of speed and agility up front. Against Hull though who were defending well not giving much space Leicester struggled to score. Defender Yohann Benalouane and Matthew James are still struggling for fitness and will probably miss the game while new boys Bartosz Kapuska and Nampalys Mendy could be in line for their first start.


Arsenal lost at home against Klopp’s Liverpool after a thrilling game. The final score finished 3-4 and left a sour taste in Arsenal fans. Both teams had defensive injury crisis which proved to be more than enough for an entertaining game. Interestingly Santi Casorla was benched for that game despite showing that he was in a good form in the pre-season. He managed to pick up 2 assists though after coming on so I expect him to start this one. Goalscorer from last game Chamberlain also impressed and will probably also feature from the start. Arsenal are still struggling in the central defender area as captain Mertesacker and Gabriel are with long term injuries and Koscielny is doubtfull after his participation in the Euros. This leaves again new youngster Rob Holding and error prone Chambers the only natural central defenders. Still some rotation may take in place after the disappointment against Liverpool with the experienced full back Debuchy having a chance to start as central defender. Last game things turned from bad to worse for Arsenal after Ramsey and Alex Iwobi also picked up injuries. This forces Wenger to make rotation either in striker position with Akpom or on left wing as Alexis will cover the other role. Ozil and Giroud are also doubtful after the Euros.


Arsenal will try to control the game pressing high and this is most welcome by Leicester as Ranieri’s boys like to play on the counter. Keeping in mind Arsenal defensive problems I believe Leicester will score in this one making both teams to score option very viable as Arsenal are a team who can score against any opponent.



Pick     both teams to score     Odds 1.57     Stake 8    

четвртак, 18. август 2016.

Auxerre – Clermont

Auxerre – Clermont
AuxerreVSClermont


Auxerre repeated the good half they had in Coupe de la Ligue game against Bourg Peronnas and once again they were in lead at HT 2-0, identical as in CdL game. Despite some offensive pressure from Bourg Peronnas (who made two inspirate replacement at HT) they did a good defensive game after the break hitting again twice on counter in last 10 minutes. Resulted a nice game to watch with goals galore; a game who make me wonder if I didn’t heavily underestimated Auxerre in this start of the season. The win is more valuable keeping in mind squad problems coach Moldovan has. Is true also Bourg Peronnas defenders were too naïve in this game, but even so the merits in this win goes to whale Auxerre squad.


Difficult time will have Clermont in this season. Without a win after 3 rounds and a single point won so far, Clermont is 2nd rock bottom. Last game they’ve put themselves again in difficult situation as Djellabi saw 2 yellow cards in 5 mins and was sent off (true is the second one was way too easy awarded). Sochaux dominated them before and after this red card, but opened the score 5 mins after the red card. But suddenly, they relaxed right after the goal, and a long pass found Dugimont in imminent position to score and he leveled at 1, one minute after Sochaux opened the score. In second half Clermont tried to keep the score, stayed behind the ball; Sochaux didn’t create to many chances but took fully advantage of a huge mistake of Clermont GK Jeannin and scored after a corner kick. For the second time in this start of the season, Clermont played in 10 men and lost. But even the red card, I saw a hesitant and away from previous offensive football game Clermont; Corinne Diacre seems to be under pressure and must find solution to keep close to the rest of the teams.


For couple of rounds I will bet against Auxerre no matter the opponent. If Clermont will stay in 11 players for whole the game, then I see a chance for them to recover some points. Let’s take some precautions and bet Clermont AH0+. gl



Pick Clermont     Odds 2.53     Stake 8