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петак, 4. децембар 2015.

Farul Constanta vs Calarasi



 It's the 18th round in the Romania Liga II - Seria I, Farul Constanta receives the visit of FC Dunarea Calarasi.


Farul Constanta has a good season, after 15 matches they are on 5th place with 28 points, in this season they won 8 matches, made 4 draws and lost 3 matches, they also managed to score 25 goals and received 12 goals.


On the other side FC Dunarea Calarasi has a better season, after 16 matches, they are on 2nd place with 33 points, in this season they won 9 matches, made 6 draws and lost 1 match, they also managed to score 33 goals and received 8 goals.


Both teams are fighting for promotion and Farul Constanta played best football at home, they won 6 matches, made 1 draw and didn't lost, they also managed to score 20 goals and received only 4 goals. Also FC Dunarea Calarasi played very good in away matches, 4 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses with a 14-3 goal difference it's pretty good.


I'm expecting to see a match with a lot of goals, both teams scored a lot of goals this season, Farul Constanta managed to score 1.6 goals per match while FC Dunarea Calarasi scored 2 goals per match.


I'm seeing an 2-2, both teams will want to win this one and both teams will play an attacking football as always.

Farul Constanta vs Calarasi betting tips Farul Constanta vs Calarasi betting tips conclusion Stake 8 Stake: 8/10

    Pick Over 3.5 Goals
    Odds 3.60

четвртак, 26. новембар 2015.

Club Brugge vs Napoli

Club-BruggeVSNapoli

Facts of the game and field:


Brugge: Bruzzese; Meunier, Mechelen, Denswil, De Fauw; Claudemir, Vazquez, Simons; Gedoz, Diaby, Izquierdo. Coach: Michel Preud'homme


Napoli: Reina; Hysaj, Chiriches, Koulibaly, Ghoulam; David Lopez, Valdifiori, Hamsik; Callejon, Higuain, Insigne. Coach: Maurizio Sarri


Low: De Bock, Engels and Rafaelov in Brugge. Gabbiadini and Mertens in Napoli.


Doubt: Duarte in Brugge.


Conclusion:


Playing behind closed doors because of the terrorist attacks in Belgium, Club Brugge will have big problems to handle the overwhelming Napoli. So, I think the odds are dysfunctional because of this news, as the home field factor will be of great value in the clash on Thursday.


With 16 goals in four games, Napoli wants to keep the good run in the Europa League, despite already being rated the second round. Still, coach Maurizio Sarri will send out its best the field, with a great front line formed by Callejon, Higuain and Insigne. But it will need to deal with the embezzlement of Gabbiadini and Mertens, who are injured, but that should not be missed on the modest Brugge, as Napoli beat Midtjylland by 5-0 not counting Mertens, last round of the Europa League.


The Belgian side, we can expect a weak team and with various disabilities to hold the Napoli. Moreover, even playing at home, Brugge could be defeated by very weak Midtjylland for 3 to 1. So we can have an idea of ​​what the Neapolitans meet on Thursday.


Because we have a match behind closed doors and Napoli with great superiority and great time, I believe that here it is worth take a chance at winning the Italian team. The price would be around 1.20 if the game was in Italy, is now around 2.40 just because of being on Belgian soil, since we will not have fans. Thus, the best choice is to win at Napoli. But I decided not to risk it and I will hold myself to the DNB on the Italian team.
Pinnaclesports.com - Najbolje kvote!
Club Brugge vs Napoli betting tips Club Brugge vs Napoli betting tips conclusion Stake 10 Stake: 10/10

    Pick Napoli DNB
    Odds 1.66

петак, 23. октобар 2015.

Start vs Mjondalen

To be or not to be – that is the question for both teams involved, as the race for survival reaches its climax tonight at Sør-Arena.

Start vs Mjondalen betting tips

Start has the 14th place with 21 points so far, but it is only two points up to 13th placed Tromso, who currently has the vita safe-spot that all the bottom teams are dreaming of achieve. Absolutely nothing has been working out for them since mid-July with 0-2-10 to show for. It is almost unbelievable that they still have a chance of surviving with that kind of performances, but it is still possible. After being smashed by league leaders Rosenborg (0-4) three weeks ago, it was another result expected against rock bottom Sandefjord (4-1) in their last match. Instead of performing better, they did exactly what they have been doing all season. The personal mistakes in both the back-four and by keeper Haakon Opdal, made another terrible day at work for Start. Sandefjord got served on three of the four goals which clearly helped them getting the mental edge during the game. Sandefjord was not a lot better as they also made a personal mistake (own goal) that lead to Start’s only goal. However, Start must begin to straighten up at the back against the lowest teams, if they are going to deserve staying in Tippeligaen next season.

Start will at least not miss any of their players towards this big game, as long-term injured Jesper Mathisen (0/0) is the only player missing as he has been all season.



Mjondalen has done just the same as their opponents this season after being promoted from 1st Division last season. After a fantastic start to their campaign during the first games, it has slowly stabilized into a medium level, before a total collapse is the word to use these days. 1-2-10 is the facts since early in July, and it puts them on 15th place with 20 points and three points behind 13th placed Tromso. Their last match against Molde was a quite good performance for short periods of the game. However, it was two halves mostly defensing at their own half, as they were low and compact, and managed 0-0 at the break. The second half was the factor that separated the two teams more clearly. Molde went up 2-0, but Mjondalen managed to create some excitement by scoring a goal in the 79th minute. It was when Molde punctured the game in the 86th minute that Mjondalen gave up. They somehow manage to score against better teams, but that is also their problem when meeting lower teams. They have failed to improve in both matches against Sandefjord (1-1 and a 2-1 loss) this season. It has to be better against Start, but it is hard to turn the trend around when the goal difference shows 35:63 in 27 games so far.

Midfielder Henrik Gulden (4/0) will miss the rest of the season with mononucleosis, while defender Rhett Bernstein (19/5), winger Vamouti Diomande (3/0), defender Martin Strange (9/0) and midfielder Karanweer Grewal (6/0) are reported injured. Defender Joachim Olsen Solberg (25/1), reserve keeper Marco Priis Jorgensen (7 games) and winger Stian Aasmndsen (21/3) are reported healthy again, after having some different problems in the recent week.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 12 of Start’s last 15 games in Tippeligaen.
Start have conceded at least 2 goals in 10 of their last 12 matches in Tippeligaen.

This is the most important game during the whole season for both teams and it will naturally be a lot of nerves involved. Start has not a good goal difference either with 32:57 to show for. These two teams struggle bigtime defensively, they have the same form, similar amount of points and a similar situation with three games left of the season. With Start’s one point in advantage and just two points up to Tromso, they can live with a draw tonight if Tromso lose their match. However, they need to win another game later, which will be a lot more difficult. In will be game over for Mjondalen if they lose, as it is three points up to Tromso, who has a lot better goal difference compared to Mjondalen. The match will not care about who plays the better football, but who scores the first goal. This will be a match were the first goal will open up the whole game, as the other team will have to respond. Looking at Start’s home games, it shows 10/3 when we look at the over/under 2.5 goals ratio, while Mjondalen has an 8/5 ratio away this season in terms of over/under 2.5 goals. I expect another nerve-wracking match for the supporters as the match will wave back and forth at Sør Arena this evening. At least over 2.5 goals should be a possible scenario in the match of the year for the teams involved.
Bet: Over 2.5 Goals @1.70

четвртак, 8. октобар 2015.

Wawrinka vs Austin Krajicek

 Can´t help myself to go against the world #4 in this QF in Tokyo 500.


All know that Stan the man is the better player here and most likely will take this matchup probably


80-90% of the times. So why should Krajicek have a chance at all here to cause a upset?


Krajicek is a strong CH player, plays some bigger tournaments with no real results. Plays best on HC and is 26/16. Have already played 4 matches here in Tokyo: 2 realative breeze sets against Sekiguchi and Mahut, tight 3 sets against Ebden and in R.2 turned it around against Sousa 2-6 6-4 6-3. Krajicek has a strong serve that is working well. Was also playing solid in his groundstrokes against Sousa so have some qualities there as well.


Stan has been qualified for London since US Open, so he isn´t desperate to go far here. And he have been playing a bit up and down since then. Watched his game against de Bakker in DC and Stan was struggling in all ways of the game. Bad serve, often short in the rallies and some easy errors. In Metz he was pushed by a at the moment very poor Dustin Brown, winning 4-6 6-3 7-6. In QF he retired due to a sprained ankle. Here in Tokyo he has started of with a win in straight sets against Stepanek and Ito in 3 sets. Stan is playing well but not at the level we are used to. Didn´t serve well at all against Ito and also had some unexpected struggle in the rallies. Another factor is also that ATP 1000 in Shanghai starts in a few days, which can work as some sort of safetynet if he would loose here.


This is a longshoot of course, but if Stan plays like he did against Ito I think this bet has a better chance then the odds shows. Already qualified to London = less pressure but also less motivation I believe. ATP 1000 around the corner = maybe more motivated to test his form there and not that eager to go far here. Krajicek is also playing well and if he can keep up the level of serving at the same time Stan doesn´t perform on top I think we can see a upset here. Think Krajicek will be very motivated and I think he is worth a bet. Krajicek for the win.

Wawrinka vs Austin Krajicek betting tips Wawrinka vs Austin Krajicek betting tips conclusion Stake 4 Stake: 4/10

    Pick Austin Krajicek
    Odds 7.47

четвртак, 17. септембар 2015.

Lech – Belenenses

Polish side Lech Poznan hosts Portugese team Belenenses in Europa League football action.

Lech Poznan is not very interested in this competition at the moment. They have 4 losses in 6 games in the domestic league. They are suffering from post-success hangover. They won the title surprisingly, but the players hoped for transfers abroad, and now that most of the stars stayed with the team they are not willing to fight again as hard as last season.

For this game Lech will rotate the lineup, because the situation in the league is dramatic. Also they will not have much fans, because they are protesting against the UEFA decision of handing some of the ticket money to refugees.

Lech Poznan fans refugees



Belenenses is a good team. Small teams from Portugal tend to perform good in Europa League, I remember Rio Ave from last season, they use strong squads because the level of money in EL makes a difference to them and because they have SA players to sell. Belenenses will have Luis Leal, ex APOEL and Carlos Martins (recovered after injury) in the starting line-up. These 2 are big improvements to an already well organized team. I especially like their defense, a very good one and a very good match up vs the leaky defense of Lech, who also have the “obligation” to attack because they are the hosts.

I will bet a +0.5 handicap for Belenenses, classic 8 units stake on my tip. Good luck!

Pick: Belenenses +0,5 handicap
Odds: 1.96

уторак, 11. август 2015.

Heerenveen vs De Graafschap

Heerenveen was close to obtain the European ticket last season when the team finished as seventh in the regular part of the season but then surprised everyone with positive performance against Feyenoord in additional play-off rounds, as they eliminated them but were stopped at the last obstacle being defeated against Vitesse and the European competitions remained only a dream. The team is surely welcoming now new season in order to make further steps towards European scene.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV betting tips


Team isn’t having such a tough schedule early in the season, so their fight surely starts with this game as the team has a nice chance to open the season in a best possible way. They made some changes during Summer transfer window, as the team sold their first striker Utha, but goalkeeper Nordfeldt left the team too plus few others who weren’t that important in the previous year. They did great job to sign strikers Vrede from Feyenoord and talented Zahovic from Maribor, while new goalkeeper Mulder also came from Feyenoord, reinforcing the team with couple of defending players as well. Coach Dwight Lodeweges will start with few newly signed players, while he can’t count at talented central defenders Jerry St. Juste and Joost van Aken due injuries. Sidelined are also midfielder Pele van Anholt and most likely, offensive player Slagveer who remains questionable.



De Graafschap finished the previous season on sixth position in second tier of Dutch football and actually nobody expected them to win the promotion through additional play-off rounds. Mostly because they were far from consistent during the season, ending it fourty points away from first placed NEC Nijmegen and nineteen points below the second placed Eindhoven. Anyhow, the team showed the most when it was needed the most.

Surely the team is now entering the season with only one target – to preserve the status and stay playing in Eredivisie for more than a year, wanting to avoid express return to the lower rank. They brought a lot of players during Summer, but it still remains to be seen whether they’ll be able to start playing fluently right away – and more importantly, if the players have enough quality for Eredivisie level. Most notable signing was midfielder Driver from Aberdeen and striker Kabasele from Anderlecht (taken on loan). On the other side, couple of important players have left the team as well. With nothing to lose, they are expected to be a bit more attacking and willing to risk, trying to impress in the season opener. Coach Jan Vreman has fully fit squad to choose from.

Home side is a favorite to get a three pointer here, but at the same time they have quite big problem with injured players, especially in the defensive lineup. Open game is expected here with plenty of goals as the home side remains favorite, but probably playing with big number of defensive mistakes.
Bet: Over 3 goals @ 1.85

понедељак, 10. август 2015.

Kovalik vs Cem Ilkel

 Portoroz Challenger


1R


Jozef Kovalik - Cem Ilkel


As in the Bester - Muller prediction, here too we have a huge quality gap between the two players and a huge gap between their previous results.


The young turk Cem Ilkel have played almost only in turkish ITF tournaments and, as exceptions, in some challengers but only because they were held in Turkey. Even so, in 10 from 11 challenger tournaments, all turkish, he never won a set against a non-turkish player with the only exception in the match against Fabbiano in Izmir 2014.


In these circumstances, at his first ever non-turkish challenger I don't see big chances for him to win a set against a player of Kovalik's level.


I've put my money on Kovalik to win under 21.5 games @ 2.30 and I suggest you to take the best bet you cand find for this match. From the bookmakers here agreed the best option is Kovalik 2:0 @ Bet365.


Let's go green!

Kovalik vs Cem Ilkel betting tips Kovalik vs Cem Ilkel betting tips conclusion Stake 10 Stake: 10/10

    Pick Jozef Kovalik to win 2:0
    Odds 1.61

субота, 8. август 2015.

Preston vs Middlesbrough

PrestonVSMiddlesbrough

Preston kick off their season in Championship with a clash against Middlesborough here.


I notice visitors are being tipped by many for promotion after losing the richest match in England.


They will have to wipe that from their memories and focus on putting in another strong season, preferably without the need for play off to secure promotion following their loss to the Canaries.


Alex Baptiste, Downing will improve the squad and their preparations for the new season has been pleasing, undefeated from 4 games, with 3 wins.


Preston, too has had a good pre season with 3 wins and a loss in the final preparation game going down 3-2 to Bury.


I fancy Middlesborough here and the round ball appeals to me.


They have gone undefeated in their last 5 against Preston all competitions, with 4 wins.

Preston vs Middlesbrough betting tips Preston vs Middlesbrough betting tips conclusion Stake 8 Stake: 8/10

    Pick Middlesbrough AH0
    Odds 1.78

петак, 7. август 2015.

Chelsea vs Swansea


ChelseaVSSwansea
 Chelsea lost to Arsenal in community sheild on sunday in a 1:0 victory to Arsenal. I wanted to write preview on that match, but due to betshoot tipster rules, am unable to write any preview as their are already three tipster on it. I wanted to write on both team to score No, although I expect chelsea win or at least 0:0 draw. Anyway let's go straight to today's match which take place between chelsea and swansea.


Chelsea game against Arsenal is not impressive though, as there is NO single attempt in the 1st 20th minute of the game. However, Arsenal manage the 1st attempt by Wallcott who head an on target header to Courtoiuse, Chambelain manage to score the only goal which decide the match as he cut Azpiliquenta to in the left hand side of the back space. After that goal, chelsea start possesing the match, while wenger belief in defending that goal to break Mourinho 13 games unbeaten against Wenger. Hazzard miss a me and you goal in the 2nd half which I don't even expect from him. Coasta did not play the match but on the bench throughout, as Remmy started it while Falcao was latter substituted. I expect coasta to start here today as he score a wooping 5 goals home and away between this team in last season game, hence, he's a player to look out for in anybody to score market.


Swansea finish 8th spot in last season premier league game, and Garry monk side have brought in Eder as their major signing. They have played a lot of pre season friendly match with plenty of draw and only a victory for the side in their preparation for the premier league, in fact, the only win was against TSV 1860.


Prediction


I think chelsea will not want to remeber the loss against Arsenal, and will like to do anything in front of their fans to compensate the loss against Arsenal. The reason for this Asian handicap is due to the fact that chelsea have cover this line in 5 of their 6 matches against swansea, keeping it in mind that chelsea manage 5 cleansheet on this run. I think they should be able to do so once again here today expetially as Coasta is expected to start and with NO injury concern here.

Chelsea vs Swansea betting tips Chelsea vs Swansea betting tips conclusion Stake 8 Stake: 8/10

    Pick home-1.5
    Odds 2.22

четвртак, 6. август 2015.

Lille vs PSG

LilleVSPSG

PSG are the defending champions of France and are major odds on to do the business here in the curtain opener against Lille away from home.


Lille have lost some of their best players in the form of Traore, Gueye and Roux. Origi has also returned after his loan spell ended.


PSG have had good preparation for the season with wins over Fiorentina, Manchester United and Lyon in the cup to open the season.


They also held Chelsea in what was a solid lead up to this anxiously awaited new season. They have lost Cabaye and Zlatan is out here after suffering an injury in the aforementioned supercup game.


Di Maria has completed his move from Manchester United but he will need time to settle in.


Cavani and co have enough in the tank even with the absentees to make this a solid start for the champions.


If they play a solid game they can win this by a few.


Take the outright result if you prefer but I have a sneaky feeling a -1AH is the best route here at the superior price.


Full refund in case of a slender win.

Lille vs PSG betting tips Lille vs PSG betting tips conclusion Stake 7 Stake: 7/10

    Pick PSG -1 AH
    Odds 2.40

среда, 1. јул 2015.

Dolgopolov vs Karlovic

DolgopolovVSKarlovic

 I expekt to see a strong serving performance both from Alex and from the Croatian giant in the first set here . Both players got tremendous serving potential and we all know that the tiebreaks are to be expekted when Ivo is on the court . Ivo only played one first set that wasnt a tiebreak versus Berdych when he broke him in the 11th game and won the set with 7-5 this season on grass . Dont think that he will be able to break Alex while even Alex will find it hard to return Ivo's tremendous serves on this surface . It might take some time for him to get used to the serve and that should result with a tiebreak in the first set and I am taking it on max stake .

Dolgopolov vs Karlovic betting tips Dolgopolov vs Karlovic betting tips conclusion Stake 10 Stake: 10/10

    Pick Over 12.5 games in first set
    Odds 1.71

MTK vs Vojvodina

After few seasons of ups and downs, even playing in the second level of Hungarian football back in season 2011/12, MTK finally reached the European Cups ticket in previous season, after six years of absenteeism in European Cups. They ended the previous season being on third position, being relatively safe and taking the position quite deservedly.
MTK vs Vojvodina betting tips

Second placed Ferencvaros ended with seven points more, while fifth placed Paks had six points less, while the champions from Videoton had fourteen points more – but the title was never a goal for them as the team has lowered their ambitions since few years ago when they experienced relegation due to money issues. The team is surely one of those that prefer to play as offensive as possible for European standards, with two offensive players being their best part of the team – experienced midfielder and team captain Joszef Kanta (235 matches, 96 goals for MTK) and striker Sandor Torghelle (20 matches, 10 goals for MTK last season). Out of more notable friendly matches, Hungarians have won over Romanian side Botosani 1:0, but also lost to Kukesi 3:1 ten days ago.



Vojvodina, on the other side, finished the previous season at fourth position in Serbian league which was enough for them to secure teh Europa League ticket. However, their weren’t in an easy position during the season, especially not in the second part, as the team secured their European exit with four consecutive victories in the end of the season only.

The team is once again made of mostly very young and talented players, thuss any kind of title race was generally out of the question for them in previous season – budget got weaker and it was normal to turn to their kids from academy. This season however, those younger players are more mature for one year, while surprisingly the club’s management still didn’t sell their best players and if they continue being together – Vojvodina could easily have much better season than the previous one. Ten days ago, they had a friendly game against Mladost Lucani and only drew 1:1. Only injury worry for the visiting team will be absence of experienced central and team captain Nino Pekaric.

Generally, I expect here much more open game than the current odds show us. Hungarian clubs are well known for their open and attacking style, while Vojvodina seems to be quite inexperienced team for European Cups and even if they take the lead, they probably won’t be able to hold up that easily and should also concede. Both teams to score and over goals are my first choice here, as I strongly believe that the chances for over are well above 50%.
Bet: Over 2.25 goals @ 1.93

субота, 13. јун 2015.

Armenia vs Portugal

ArmeniaVSPortugal


 Portuguese squad arrives at this 5th round's tough clash in better situation than other years, when they struggle so much to qualify for European Championship or WC. At this point, they are in position to avoid the playoffs and go throught in first place of group I. We are talking about points, because Fernando Santos' men are playing like a portuguese national team is used to play: courage, determination and... nothing impressive.


After a dissapointing WC, Portugal opened this qualy with a disturbing 0:1 at home against Albania. Then, they managed to take some vital points winning in 90th minute in Kobenhavn, 72th minute in Algarve against Armenia, and the last victory 2:1 in Lisboa vs Serbia. Efficient team, maybe dull team, but pragmatic, at the end. This saturday they traveled to Armenia (after some days in a hospitable Georgia) without Pepe and Bosingwa. Both places will be taked, probably, by Ricardo Carvalho and Cedric. This means that Fabio Coentrao will be moved to midfielder. Coentrao played well in this position with Portugal, scoring 2nd goal against Serbia in a 2:1 victory, but personally, I don'k like these kind of player in midfield, especially when you have to be creative against a team that enjoy playing counter-attacks.


Talking about counter-attacks... in my opinion the couple Carvalho - Bruno Alves is not the best possible center back pair to play this type of game, so maybe the newcomer Carriço could play in a 4-defensive line with Cedric - Bruno Alves - Carriço/Carvalho - Eliseu. Apart from defensive issues, the very big problem in this NT is the '9' position. No real strikers in this country when seems that the time for Hugo Almeida and Helder Postiga has spent. Very good wingers, but when you have to attack positionally, is not the best way put a player like Danny among 5 armenian defenders. In my opinion, I prefer Cristiano jumping and fighting in this position, and Danny - Quaresma (maybe the starter right winger in that game) crossing or drawing diagonals.


I can't talk about Cristiano Ronaldo and his role in these portuguese team. I always thought that your better player has to come into play as soon as possible, and stay at the spotlight, be inluential in the team's gamestyle. As Menotti said when he talks about Argentina in the 80's, the motto is "how we are to play today, guys? No answer? Ok, so let's pass the ball to Maradona. How many balls? Many balls as possible". Is the way I think CR has to play in each team he join it. Unfortunately for him, he want to smash all the balls against the goal instead attrackt defenders in order to liberate some teammates and create free spaces (as Lebron in basketball, Messi in soccer, etc). Therefore... that is what we have.


Ok, Armenia. Only 1 point out 12, but they work very well first 60' minutes of each game. Large defense, some quality attackers and, definitely, a worker team, as Portugal. They won until 60' minute in Denmark. After that minute, they concede 2 goals in 15' to lose 2:1 in opening game. Later, Zoran Tosic scored in Armenia at the injury time for Serbia to equalize the game (1:1) and take away 2 points. In november they lost 1:0 with CR goal in 72' minute as I said before... and finally, in the last game in Albania, they won until 77th minute 0:1, one player got the second yellow card and was ejected. After this, 2 quick goals from Albania, and another 2:1 defeat. That's Armenia, a competitive NT, but incapable to keep the score in final minutes.


For me, possible under2.5 game, maybe Armenia +1.5, but trends suggest a turning point in the middle of 2n half, when the 5 defensive men are used to be more tired, and gaps are opened for talented portuguese's wingers. For this reason, i am going to take this Armenia +0.5 at half time, because I expect good host defense in first minutes of game, combined by the lack of creativity that Portugal shows sometimes, Cristiano Ronaldo (I don't know if he is fit at all, but I assume that CR at 50% is enough to be dangerous) trying ways to score himself, maybe wigh longshots, headers, free kicks... but I don't expect a particularly good team play in Portugal. Besides, Armenia is good at counters, so is not necessary that first half ends 0-0.


Plus:


- Last meeting ended with 1:0 for Portugal. 2 times these teams played before in Armenia: both matches tied (0-0 and 1-1, a long time ago)


- Portugal has won their last 4 games out of home in Qualy's.


- Portugal won at half time 1/12 last games in Qualy's (2:3 against Dinamarca, June 2012)


- Armenia last win in a competitive game was in October 2013, 2:1 against Bulgaria.


- Armenian striker Yura Movysusyan is doubtiful (armenian federation seems don't like too much to write about his issues).



Armenia vs Portugal betting tips Armenia vs Portugal betting tips conclusion Stake 6 Stake: 6/10

    Pick Armenia +0.5 at Half Time
    Odds 1.85

петак, 12. јун 2015.

Kazakhstan vs Turkey

Out of five rounds played, Kazakhstan has for now one draw and four defeats, taking the last sixth position completely deservedly. In their last two friendly matches, the team had two goalless draws, against Russia and Burkina Faso. Both teams they have rotated the squad, while they were sticking with their best team so far in group matches.
Turkey vs Kazakhstan betting tips

Their coach has said that his team has quality and technical potential to match with the Turks, but the way they are organized – they can’t compete for whole ninety minutes for now. He also added that it’s an important game for them and that the team needs to give everything they can in order to have the positive result, however there is no doubt that the hosts will be trying to defend as much as possible here. Midfielder Alexander Merkel from Grashhoppers won’t be playing here, same as Bauyrzhan Dzholchiev from Astana. Striker Sergei Khizhnichenko from Aktobe will probably be the lone striker in their formation.



Turkey, on the other hand, currently occupies only fourth position. They have one victory, two draws and two defeats, being seven points away from the second placed Iceland and eight points away from first placed Czech Republic.

In a friendly match last Monday, the Turks crashed Bulgaria with a 4:0 result and surely have improved the atmosphere inside their locker room. After quite boring first halftime, they made three changes and the result was obvious, as Calhanoglu scored twice within five minutes, while Yilmaz added one goal as well, to give 3:0 lead to Turks after 56 minutes of play. Yilmaz scored once more for completely deserved victory. The team has only three players in the mission who are playing away from Turkey, while four players were invited for the first time.

No doubts that the hosts are hard working nation, but are also very limited in football aspect. Turkey seems to be rising their form and being in a must win situation, they are complete favorites in my eyes to take all three points in quite easy fashion.
Bet: Turkey -1 Asian handicap @ 1.79

субота, 9. мај 2015.

CSU Craiova – CSMS Iasi

Two of the most defensive sides in Romania Liga 1 will square off today in the 31st round.

CSU Craiova doesn’t have much left to fight for since they found out they are banned to compete in the Europa League and the results suddenly dropped – 2 points in the last 5 matches, dropping from 3rd to 5th in the standings. The hosts are playing a very defensive style of football courtesy of the defensive – minded coaching duo of Cartu and Sandoi, their objective in every game is to keep a clean sheet and maybe get a winning goal. Craiova failed to score in 3 of the last 5 matches, but coach Cartu was not upset about this stat – he praised his team for the 0-0 home draw with Dinamo and absolutely slated his players after the 2-2 draw away with Chiajna.

Iasi has a similar approach with Craiova in terms of the football they play, a very defensive style which currently sees an average of under 2 goals being scored in their games this season. They have been particularly cautious in the second part of the season, keeping a clean sheet in 11 of the 13 matches played in 2015, incredible statistics for a side fighting to avoid relegation. This excellent defense saw them rise to the 9th place in the table and they could mathematically escape the drop with a point today.



Team news & lineups:

Madson and playmaker Brandan are out for Craiova, while CSMS Iasi won’t be able to count on Tiganasu, Mihalache and Markovic.

CSU Craiova: Balgradean – Dumitras, Acka, Frasinescu, Vatajelu – Briceag, Baluta, Mateiu, Tarnacop – Nuno Rocha – Bawab

CSMS Iasi: Grahovac – Voicu, Ciuca, Plamada, Badic – Ciucur, Fabio Braga, Enescu, Bole, Onduku – Golubovic

Iasi has 11 matches with under 2,5 goals from the 11 they played in 2015 and Craiova has 10 underish matches from 13. The statistics clearly indicate an under here, but it’s also the way these teams play and the circumstances of the game. Iasi will come focused to get a draw (obviously 0-0 being the top option), while a bored and slightly relaxed Craiova side will be content to play their defensive football, without managing to put any pressure up front – especially considering that their playmaker and only player that can make a pass longer than 2 meters is out. Looking at the two sides play, you start wondering how could anyone bang in a single goal here.

The odds on the under over market are great so my tip is under 2 goals to be scored – I expect a maximum of one goal, but I`ll pick the asian under of 2 just to be on the safe side. I also believe the value is on Iasi on the 1×2 market, the visitors should be able to get a draw as the in form and more motivated team. Prediction: CSU Craiova – CSMS Iasi 0-0.

Pick: under 2 goals
Odds: 2.11

четвртак, 16. април 2015.

Dyn Kiev – Fiorentina

Europa League football, with Dynamo Kiev hosting Fiorentina in the first leg of this quarterfinal tie.
Dynamo Kiev Fiorentina betting preview

Dynamo Kiev has no problems taking care of Everton last round in Ukraine … lost 1-2 away but won with an incredible 5-2 at home. A similar scenario happened in Round 32 vs. Guingamp. Kiev is incredibly strong at home, where they did not lose in one year to the day … on 16 April 2014 it was a 0-2 defeat at the hands of Shakhtar. Makarenko is out for Dynamo and Veloso is a doubt. But after a long time Dynamo has the offensive quartet of Belhanda, Yarmolenko Lens and Mbokani fit to play at the same time.

Dynamo Kiev projected lineup:
Shovkovskiy – Danilo Silva, Khacheridi, Dragovic, Vida – Rybalka, Garmash – Belhanda Yarmolenko, Lens – Mbokani.


I strongly suspect that Fiorentina is losing the battle with fitness … La Viola had a nightmare schedule in 2015 … tough match after tough match every three days, Cup, Europa league, Serie A. The last two matches were two 3-0 defeats to Juventus and Napoli, which saw Roma lose almost everything … the Coppa Italia and the last chance to fight for a Top 3 finish. Europa League is all they have left and you know they will give it their all and have the quality to qualify … but with the current form it will be tough. Visitors will not have Rossi and Basanta in the lineup. Pizarro will probably also miss the match.

Fiorentina projected lineup:
Neto – Richards, Savic, Rodriguez, Alonso – Borja Valero, Fernandez, Badelj – Ilicic, Salah, Gomez.

Dynamo has to get at the very worst a draw at home if they want to have any chance of progression. They have been impecable on home soil, both in the domestic competitions and in the UEFA Cup. With Fiorentina shaking badly at the moment, Dynamo has the power to pull off another great result in Ukraine … they are healthier and better rested. Also Fiorentina will probably not be too angry with a loss as long as they score a goal, considering the crisis they are in. Always tough to play in Eastern Europe, particularly in Kiev vs probably the best Dynamo team in 15 years. My tip will be Dynamo Kiev +0 asian handicap. Correct score prediction: Dynamo Kiev – Fiorentina 2-1.

Pick: Dynamo Kiev (+0 Asian Handicap)
Odds: 1.72

среда, 15. април 2015.

Troicki – Isner

Viktor Troicki and John Isner square off in the Monte Carlo Masters second round, with the odds on the American dropping pretty fast.
Troicki Isner live streaming tips
Troicki Isner live streaming tipsTroicki is having a good season so far, but he hasn`t quite found that consistency required at the highest level. After his fantastic winning run at Sydney, Viktor seemed to lose steam and hasn`t been able to pass the third round of any other tournament. Additionally, he lost to every Top 25 player he met. Trocki played his first match on clay in the first round here at Monte Carlo, but his win over in-form Martin Klizan wasn`t quite as impressive as it initially may seem – Klizan was obviously a little tired after winning the final in Cassablanca on Sunday and he clearly fell physically in the deciding set, allowing Troicki to take it 6-2 after two previous tight sets (7-6 5-7 6-2).

After an accident loss against Gabashvili in Houston, Big John backed up his fantastic recent form with an easy 6-4 6-4 win over Johnson in the first round here in Monaco – not the most dangerous opponent on clay, but Isner did the job easily, facing just one break point (which he failed to save). It was just the third match in which Isner got broken from the last 10! Theoretically clay works against Isner’s game, especially the slow one here at Monte Carlo – but Big John is well known for his surprising results and consistency on the red dirt when he`s in form. He stated before the tournament that he loves the surface and that clay has a very positive effect on his game, an effect which people don`t realize.



The Head 2 Head is 3-1 for Troicki (1-0 on clay), so Viktor seems to have a matchup advantage over Isner. However, all matches were pretty tight and the last one was in 2011, so the Head 2 Head might not be so relevant.

When you think Troicki – Isner on clay you immediately make connections in your head that the surface favors Troicki – particularly when the clay is so slow. It might, but only slightly. Isner is so much better than advertised on the red dirt, he`s in excellent form and he`s as confident as ever on this surface, according to his words. He played a solid match in the first round and he`s clearly the better player overall. Troicki hasn`t been that good recently and his win over Klizan in the first round came in special circumstances.

It`s really no surprise that the odds are dropping on an Isner win, I expect them to continue dropping until match time. The American is the favorite here by a decent margin, so my tip is Isner to win, possibly in 2 sets. Prediction: Viktor Troicki – John Isner 6-7 5-7.

Live streaming for the Monte Carlo tennis event available for players at Bet365.com.

Pick: Isner
Odds: 1.95

уторак, 14. април 2015.

Brooklyn Nets vs. Chicago Bulls

Brooklyn Nets vs. Chicago Bulls / NBA – The Nets must win this match, but one thing does not go in their favour and that is that the Bulls are also entering this match with a desire to win, because they have not given up on the third position for which they are fighting with Toronto. Especially now when Rose and Butler are again in the team. Begins: 14.04.2015 – 01:30 CET
Brooklyn Nets

The Nets are fighting a fierce battle for the eight (perhaps even seventh) position in the East. They are certainly not thinking about who to choose in the first round, because they want to extend the season and get in the playoffs. Thus everything is possible but to get to that position that leads in the playoffs they need victories. As things stand now, their biggest competition will be the pacers a team that is in great form, while Miami lost its track and they need a big surprise to come to eight position. Besides, the nets could also fight for the seventh place with Boston, but the question is who would be an easier opponent in the playoffs, Atlanta (if they are eight) or Cleveland (if they end up seventh).

Like we already said, their primary goal is get in the playoffs and thus save the season from which much more was expected. This team will certainly face many changes during the summer, in the organization (there are even some rumours about the sale of the club), and in the team. They can only win this match against the Bulls, because of they lose they would give additional chance to the pacers and thus create additional pressure for themselves. If the Bulls did not need a victory, it would be much easier, but now they will have the complete team of the Bulls which are in a mini series of victories.

Probable lineups Brooklyn Nets: Williams, Brown, Johnson, Young, Lopez
Chicago Bulls

The Bulls are coming to Brooklyn with two consecutive victories which leave them in the game for third position. Toronto is right next to them, but the Raptors also have a series of victories, so we will not know who will be third in the east till the very end. That is why the Bulls must record all victories till the end of the regular part of the season. They currently have the effect of 48 wins and 32 loses, and besides this match with the Nest, they will play one match against Atlanta, which will probably have a changed lineup and be very relaxed considering that they do not need to win. But the Bulls need to win against the Nets and they will probably give their best to defeat the Hawks. Nets have a very strong top five while the Bulls finally have complete team and they will be able to resist the hosts.

Rose is finally on the court, and even though it was announced that he would only ply 20 minutes, the importance of the last match dictated more minutes. His contribution is enormous, because his very appearance in the tram helps his teammates, because the opponent’s defence must pay a lot more attention to him. Butler has also recovered, which means that their guard line is complete, so Gasol and Noah should be much more relaxed. The bench is now stronger, because they have more solutions, and they can only hope that they will not have any more problems with victories.

Probable lineups Chicago Bulls: Rose, Butler, Dunleavy, Gasol, Noah
Brooklyn Nets vs. Chicago Bulls PICK

Given the importance of this match, and the necessity of the victory for both teams, this match should not be taken lightly, and it will probably be very hard and with a lot of caution, and that only means a small number of points in the end.

Pick: under 195.5 points

Stake: 5/10

Odds: 1.93

недеља, 15. март 2015.

Los Angeles Kings vs Arizona Coyotes

Los Angeles Kings vs. Arizona Coyotes / NHL – In the Western Conference the season has not been long been this interesting, especially when it comes to fighting for the top of the table. The difference between the fifth Minnesota and the ninth Kings is only four points. So, even the fifth Minnesota is not sure that they will at the end of the championship win the playoffs. Arizona is one of the weakest teams in the conference and they are on the last place.  Begins: 17.03.2015 – 03:30 CET
Los Angeles Kings

The Kings have three wins and two defeats in the last five games. They started the season poorly, and only at the beginning of last month they played in their best shape. Then they made eight consecutive wins and thus joined the fight for the play-offs. The Kings will in the rest of the season lead a fierce battle because they can easily overtake the San Jose Sharks. It is certain that the Kings have a quality team, but they should prove it on the ice. Regardless of the fact that they are still the champions, if they do not improve their game, they could lose the playoffs. It would be a big shock for the whole team and the fans. The Kings are usually strongest towards the end of the season, so this year the situation could be similar. In the last five games, they have had some very tough matches. They played against a very of quality opponents from the top of the table.

First on their ice, they welcomed the leaders of the Eastern Conference, Montreal. Los Angeles celebrated the victory and proved they can defeat the best in the league. However, already in the next round they were defeated in their hall by Pittsburgh. That defeat has not influence the game of the Kings much, so in the next two duels they celebrated two times. Both matches were played away, in Colorado and Vancouver. In the last match they played a derby against Nashville, which are ranked first in the Western Conference. In a very interesting match the Kings were eventually defeated with 1:2. It was their second defeat in a row at home which has certainly worried their fans. But now they are playing against much weaker opponent, so everyone expects a convincing victory.
Arizona Coyotes

Arizona is with Edmonton the worst team in the Western Conference. They have only two points more than the last Edmonton, and the way they play lately, they are likely to fall to the last place. After the surprising victory over Chicago from more than a month ago, the players of Arizona had a catastrophic series. They lost ten games in a row, four at home and six away. This bad series was ended by a victory over Vancouver in front of their fans. However, their joy was short-lived because they continued with the defeats in the next four matches. Although all four games were played on their ice, Arizona’s players have failed to achieve a victory.

They had a very tough schedule because they played against great opponents. First they were defeated by Montreal and Nashville, and then in Chicago. In the last round they met with the New Jersey Devils who are a somewhat easier opponent than the previous three. But despite that fact, Arizona has experienced another defeat. In the next round they will have a difficult task because they are playing against the Kings which must not waste any more points, especially against a weak team. Arizona at home has six losses in a row and it would be why a big surprise if they in this guest appearance manage to achieve a positive result. Besides Mikkel Boedkera and Martin Hanzal who are out of ice by the end of the season, Arizona has no other players injured.
Los Angeles Kings vs. Arizona Coyotes PICK

Los Angeles Kings are absolute favourites in this match and all but the victory would be a surprise. After a series of tough games the Kings finally have an easier opponent against so it should not be a problem to defeat them. In the first match of the season, the Kings have at the end of last year on their turf mastered Arizona with 4:2. After two defeats in a row at home, the Kings have an ideal opportunity to win and thus restore their lost self- confidence.

Pick: Los Angeles Kings wins

Stake: 6/10

Odds: 1.55

петак, 20. фебруар 2015.

Getafe vs. Espanyol

Getafe vs Espanyol 20.02.2015 – La Liga
Getafe vs. Espanyol / La Liga – We can say for this match that is much more important for the hosts, because Getafe is very close to the relegation zone and have only four points more than teams in the zone, while Espanyol is eighth and has six points more than Getafe but on the other hand is very far from European position. Both teams came a long way in the Cup; Getafe was eliminated in the quarter-finals, while Espanyol is in the semi-finals. Both teams played away in the last round and Getafe lost, while Espanyol won. Espanyol won their match played in the first part of the season by 2-0 and it is interesting that Espanyol didn’t lost last eight away matches against Getafe. Begins: 20.02.2015 – 20:45 CET

Getafe
Although their position in the standings is bad, it can be that Getafe even plays well lately. They had a tough schedule but they nevertheless managed to win several points against stronger teams. First of all it applies to the victory at home over Sevilla two rounds ago and over Celta in late January. Their last four losses were by the minimal result of 1-0, two in the Cup to Villarreal, and two in the championship in away matches to Almeria and Valencia.

They are going to be sorry about the last match against Valencia for a long time, because they successfully resisted to the favoured hosts till unjustified penalty, but despite that misfortune they had a great chance to equalise in the finish of the match. They, however, didn’t and now want to play a good match, however, they have paid dearly for being combative in Valencia as even two standard starters have gotten the fifth yellow card and now cannot play. These are Escudero and Diego Castro and they will not play, as well as injured Roberto Lago. From before Lafita and Baba are out of action, while goalkeeper Guaita is still recovering.

Probable lineups Getafe: Jonathan – Alexis, Naldo, Velazquez, Vigaray – J. Rodriguez, Lacen – Sarabia, Pedro Leon, Alvaro Vazquez – Sammir

Espanyol
Espanyol is obviously completely relaxed when it playing matches in La Liga, largely thanks to very comfortable position in the standings since they are far and away from the relegation zone and also from the European positions. Additionally, they raised their self-confidence when they qualified for the semi-finals of the Cup on top of which came an excellent draw with Athletic 1-1 in the first leg of the semi-finals so the door of the final is wide open. It was expected that after that draw will eased a bit in the championship, however, it happened quite the opposite and they routinely defeated Malaga in the away match by 2-0.

The team was naturally changed a bit compared to the Cup match but now it is a common practice as they play a large number of matches and must preserve their strength. Now, new changes are inevitable but they are forced to make some of them. Large number of disciplinary cards was shown to Espanyol players in Malaga, even red one, because of which stopper Colotto is suspended now. Midfielder Victor Sanchez and captain Sergio Garcia received the fifth yellow card so they will miss this away match. The good news is that midfielder Canas has recovered and he returns in the team which will surely see more changes.

Probable lineups Espanyol: Casilla – J.Lopez, A.Gonzalez, Moreno, Fuentes – Canas, Abraham – Montanes, S. Sevilla, Vazquez – Stuani

Getafe – Espanyol PICK
We have already said that this match is much more important for the hosts, who at home knows and can play a very good match, which they proved with several victory over stronger opponents or at least draws. They can do that and against traditionally unpleasant Espanyol, who is significantly weakened and is now more focused on the Cup.

Pick: Asian handicap 0 Getafe

Stake: 5/10

Odds: 1.73

петак, 6. фебруар 2015.

AS Saint-Etienne vs. RC Lens

AS Saint-Etienne vs RC Lens 06.02.2015 – Ligue 1
AS Saint-Etienne vs. RC Lens / Ligue 1 – The first match in the 24th round of Ligue 1, which is traditionally played on Friday night, brings us two completely unequal opponents, since the host St. Etienne is currently at high fourth place in the standings and has 19 points more than the penultimate Lance. In addition, their autumn duel ended with an away win of St. Etienne, while five season’s ago both teams celebrated at home. Begins: 06.02.2015 – 20:30 CET

AS Saint-Etienne
But since then, the circumstances have changed drastically in favour of St. Etienne, which is best confirmed by the current standings of the two teams in Ligue 1. However, the fourth place just does not reflect properly the current form of this team, because they are welcoming lance after a series of three defeats, one draw and just one victory, which was achieved in the fourth round of the French Cup against Tours. On the other hand, in the quarterfinals of League Cup they were eliminated by PSG, while they later experienced a home defeat by the same team in the championship, and it all finally culminated last weekend when they were defeated in the championship match against Caen.

That is why coach Galtier announced that his team urgently needs one win to restore the self-confidence, because already this season they lost almost all the chances to reach the one of the positions that lead to Champions League. As for absences due to injuries we have defenders Clerc, Pogba and Sall, midfielder Cohade and striker Monnet-Paquet, while midfielder Diomande and striker Gradel are still at the African Cup of Nations.

Probable lineups AS Saint-Etienne: Ruffier – Theophile-Catherine, Baysse, Perrin, Tabanou – Lemoine, Clement – Hamouma, Corgnet, Mollo – van Wolfswinkel

RC Lens
Unlike St. Etienne, which each year has the highest possible ambitions, for the team of Lens this is the first comeback season after three seasons in the lower rank so it is quite clear that their main objective is the survival in the French elite rank, especially because they have one of the smallest budgets in the league. Consequently it is not surprising that they are currently at the penultimate place in the table, along with the fact that they are for five games without a victory, while in addition they were recently eliminated from the French Cup by Lyon.

However, what is somewhat encouraging for coach Kombouare is the fact that they after three straight defeats in the last two rounds of Ligue 1 recorded two draws, and it was away against Reims and at home against Bastia. All this tells us that now they are with a lot more confidence coming to this match against the favoured St. Etienne, but they will probably limit themselves on a solid game in defence and quick counter-attacks. We should also add that defender Landry, midfielder El Jadeyaoui and strikers Touzghar and N’Diaye are all out of action due to injuries.

Probable lineups RC Lens: Riou – Cavare, Gbamin, Kantari, Baal – Cyprien, Le Moigne, Valdivia, Nomenjanahary – Chavarria, Coulibaly

AS Saint-Etienne vs. RC Lens PICK
Although the team of St. Etienne is at the moment in a crisis, they are now playing against one of the worst teams in the league which creates an ideal opportunity to restore their self-confidence and therefore we expect that they will on Friday night do their best to come to new three championship points.

Pick: Asian Handicap -1 St. Etienne

Stake: 5/10

Odds: 1.98

недеља, 1. фебруар 2015.

Southampton – Swansea


With Manchester United winning yesterday and Arsenal likely getting three points against Aston Villa, Southampton really needs a win here if they are to hold on to that Top 4 spot. The Saints are looking rock solid lately, winning 3 games on the spin before falling 2-3 to Crystal Palace in the FA Cup last weekend. In the league Southampton won 5 and drew once in the last 6 games, despite meeting teams like Arsenal, Chelsea, Everton or Manchester United.Southampton Swansea betting preview

Swansea lost Wilfried Bony to Manchester City and with their recent form the season is pretty much gone, they are looking mainly at a strategy for next season. The Welsh side has 2 points in the last 4 Premier League matches and suffered two horrible defeats in the last 2 games: 0-5 at home with Chelsea and 3-1 at Blackburn in the FA Cup. The defense was shredded and the offense can`t do much to make up for that, not without Bony – poor football overall from Swansea right now.

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Team news & lineups:

Long, Alderweireld, Rodriguez, Wanyama, Schneiderlin and possibly Mayuka are out for Southampton. Not the greatest news for the Saints, but Yoshida and Mane are set to come back and luckily for them Swansea has big absentees as well – besides Bony, they will not be able to count on Routledge, Sigurtsson, Bartley, Sung-Yueng and possibly Williams.

Southampton: Forster – Clyne, Fonte, Yoshida, Bertrand – Reed, S Davis, Ward-Prowse – Tadic, Elia, Pelle

Swansea: Fabianski – Tiendalli, Fernandez, Williams, Naughton – Carroll, Shelvey – Dyer, Oliveira, Williams – Gomis

Southampton has the quality and form to get the three points at home against a team that is in total disarray. The Saints have been brilliant at the back lately, playing top defensive football, holding United or Arsenal scoreless. Looking at this Bony-less Swansea, they are not expected to score (especially with Routledge and Sigurtsson out). Southampton does miss Alderweireld at the back, but Yoshida will likely return to the lineup – if he doesn’t, there is still a first team defender available in Gardos. My tip is Southampton to win to nil. Prediction: Southampton – Swansea City 1-0.

Pick: Southampton to win to nil
Odds: 2.38

петак, 30. јануар 2015.

Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmun

 Bayer Leverkusen vs Borussia Dortmund 31.01.2015 – Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund / Bundesliga – Big derby that is that only because of the clubs’ name as the standings suggests something completely different. Bayer is exactly where it was expected to be and this is the third position, but according to all forecasts Borussia should have been right above them. Instead, the Millionaires are in the second place but measured from the bottom of the table, after a surreally bad first part of the season. The difference is 13 points in the Factory Squad’s favour who in accordance with that have ended the first part of the season with four matches without defeat, including the Champions League where Borussia also plays, but it didn’t win in the last four matches. In the first season Bayer won in Dortmund by 2-0, but in the last seven matches played it didn’t defeat Borussia at home. Begins: 31.01.2015 – 18:30 CET

Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer had a very good first half of the season, especially if we consider all the competition where it played, as they qualified for the round of 16 of the Champions League. In the Bundesliga are third although they don’t have enough points to feel safe and noticeable lag behind the second placed team. Their weakness is a large number of draws and it is especially pronounced at home, where they drew even five times, once more than they won, and we know that Bayer always played better at home.

What can console them is that they never lost, but they did lose away. They didn’t change the team and the only thing they did is that they bought defender Jedvaj from Roma, but he is one of injured players on whom coach Schmidt cannot count. Donati and Reinartz have recovered but they will have to play without a very important player, Korean Son, who is at the Asian Cup, so Drmi? will get a chance.

Probable lineups Bayer Leverkusena: Leno – Hilbert, Toprak, Spahic, Wendell – L. Bender, Castro – Bellarabi, Calhanoglu, Drmic – Kiesling

Borussia Dortmund
No team in the league was happier than Borussia when Bundesliga went on the winter break, as it totally underperformed in the first part. They are not the last only because of one goal but they are the only team that have lost ten league matches. They have the worst results away totalling just four points. That is why they draw a line in this club and now start the second part like it is the beginning of the season, as the pressure could become too strong and then could face the relegation, which would be a real shame. They didn’t sacked coach Klopp and the only reinforcement was midfielder Kampl from Salzburg.

Striker Ji Dong has returned to Augsburg, but he didn’t play in the first part. Even without these changes Borussia had a good team but something didn’t work and it had to be changed. Two strikers, Ramos and Real, are still not in the right form so the returnee from the African Cup of Nations, Aubameyang, could get an advantage in the attack. Reus has recovered and it is great news, but there are no goalkeeper Langerak, left back Durm, and midfielders Blaszczykowskog, Kehl and S. Bender.

Probable lineups Borussie Dortmund: Weidenfeller – Piszczek, Sokratis, Hummels, Schmelzer – Sahin, Gundogan – Kampl, Reus, Mkhitaryan – Aubameyang

Bayer Leverkusen – Borussia Dortmund PICK
Despite Borussia’s position this is a duel between two top teams and their places are not that important. Bayer wants to stay in the top but Borussia wants even more to escape from the bottom and we believe that they have consolidated their ranks during the winter break. This away match traditional suits them so we expect that can return undefeated from Leverkusen, especially because Bayer is not so dominant at home.

Pick: Asian handicap 0 Borussia Dortmund

Stake: 5/10

Odds: 2.15

субота, 17. јануар 2015.

Getafe – Real Madrid

Early Sunday afternoon football in Primera Division, as Getafe hosts Real Madrid.
Getafe Real Madrid betting preview

Getafe did not change much after selling manager Cosmin Contra to Guangzhou and hiring Quique Sanchez Flores. Hosts have the same defensive style game and in the last three matches since Sanchez Flores took over they have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss … but they lost the only game in Primera 1-2 vs. Eibar … the second consecutive loss in the competition. Getafe did not win in Primera since October and that was also the last time they scored more than 1 goal in a game, so hosts are in a precarious situation … only 1 point above the relegation line. Lafita, Guaita and Baba are missing for Getafe, the first two being key players, so an important handicap for Getafe.

Real Madrid is not having the best time at the moment … knocked out from the Cup by Atletico after the 2-2 home draw midweek and overall only 1 win in the last 4 matches … not good for a team of Real’s quality. On the bright side Real had a marvelous season until this short loss of form and they are expected to come back guns blazing. For sure visitors are 100% focused on getting a win in this game, they can not afford any more wrong steps and also want to bounce back after the heartbreaking cup elimination to Atletico. Pepe, Coentrao and Modric will not be in the lineup today for Real.

I see Real coming back with a win after the draw with Atletico, big teams always do that. Visitors are playing some great football and they should be able to easily break down one of the worst teams in the league – maybe even the worst if we talk about the quality of players. Guaita, who saved Getafe many times this season will not be in the lineup so that is also a plus. My tip will be Real Madrid to win and also cover the 1,5 goal handicap.

Note that Getafe managed to get a 0-0 draw from Barcelona this season at home, but they were in much better form back than and Barca played a horrible game. Real has more killer instinct and a more direct style of football so in my opinion they are not prone to an upset from a team like Getafe, who is in poor form. Correct score prediction: Getafe – Real Madrid 0-2.

Pick: Real Madrid -1,5
Odds: 1.63

Aston Villa vs Liverpool

Aston Villa vs Liverpool 17.01.2015 – Premier League
Aston Villa vs. Liverpool / Premier League – This weekend, on the program we have the matches from the 22nd round of the English Premiership, and we will start our analysis with this Saturday’s duel between the 13-ranked Aston Villa and the eighth Liverpool, which currently has a 10 point lead. In addition, the Reds are welcoming this match after a great series of five wins and two draws, while on the other hand the Villans have not celebrated in six games in the championship. However, Birmingham totally unexpectedly celebrated in their autumnal duel at Anfield, which also broke the Reds advantage of two wins and one draw in their mutual clashes. Begins: 17.01.2015 – 16:00 CET

Aston Villa

This is why the hosts are hoping that they can again get to one good result against the Reds, especially if they manage to fix their offensive game at least a little bit. Specifically, they are aware that the guests from Liverpool this season have a lot better offense than defence and therefore it is difficult to expect that their network will remain intact on Saturday, but their trio Weimann-Benteke-Agbonlahor will also this time have a lot more space in front of the opponent’s goal.
Otherwise, Aston Villa was in the last round defeated away at Leicester, which extended their championship series to three draws and three defeats, while in the meantime they celebrated in the FA Cup at home against Blackpool. However, in the Premiership they still have only three points more from the relegation zone, provided that they have by far the worst offensive performance of all the teams in the league so it is not surprising that they a few days ago brought the young offensive midfielder Gil from Valencia. However, they will this time probably remain on the bench, while defender Vlaar and Senderos and striker Kozak are all out of action due to injuries, their central defender Clark is suspended, while defender Herd  is at the Asian Cup.
Probable lineups Aston Villa: Guzan – Hutton, Okore, Baker, Cissokho – Delph, Sanchez, Cleverley – Weimann, Benteke, Agbonlahor

Liverpool

Unlike the Villans, Liverpool is awaiting this match after a good series of five wins and two draws so their fans now quite rightly expect a good result in Birmingham. Especially because Aston Villa ows it to them after they at the start of the championship won all three points in Anfield, while we also got the impression that the Reds throughout the season play much better on the side rather than at home.
It is certainly best confirmed by their last home appearance, in which they played only 2-2 against the last Leicester, while they won all three points in four consecutive away games, celebrating in the Premiership against Burnley and Sunderland and in the League Cup against Bournemouth and in the FA Cup against Wimbledon. But what at the moment is most concerning for coach Rodgers is an increasing number of absences and so goalkeeper Jones, defenders Johnson and Flanagan, midfielders Allen and Lallana and striker Sturridge will all have to miss this match due to injuries, and defender Kolo Toure is at the African Cup of Nations.
Probable lineups Liverpool: Mignolet – Can, Skrtel, Sakho – Henderson, Gerrard, Lucas, Moreno – Markovic, Sterling, Coutinho

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool PICK

Of course that Reds after four consecutive away triumphs are now coming to Villa Park with the intention to take all three points, but we also expect that the Villans will after a long time finally improve their attack and we therefore here and go for a guy with a lot of goals.
Pick: over 2.5 goals
Stake: 4/10
Odds: 2.20 

Empoli vs Inter

Empoli suffered narrow 1:0 defeat away to Genoa against Sampdoria last weekend. The team had their share of ball possession in the game, but were more passive and didn’t create many chances, finally conceding a goal in 49th minute with a goal from Eder, being unable to generally respond later on and deservedly lost the points.Empoli vs Inter betting tips


This defeat broke the streak of four consecutive draws, as the team continues to be outside of the relegation battle for now – being three points away from it, something that is their goal for this season. Their biggest problem seems to be in attack, as the team has scored only one goal in last four matches, being one of the least effective sides overall. Left defender Mario Rui (17/0) will not be available for coach Maurizio Sarri, as he is suspended for this game. Substitute defensive midfielder Tiberio Guarente (1/0) is sidelined with injury, but anyway won’t be any kind of a blow for the hosts. The team is expected to be lined up in a bit more defensive 4-3-1-2 formation.


Inter finally comes from an easy victory, having no problem to overcome Genoa at home last weekend with a 3:1 result. Palacio brought them into the lead in 12th minute, while Icardi double up the lead before the halftime whistle. Izzo reduced the deficit in 85th minute, but Vidic sealed the victory with a goal two minutes before the full time whistle.

This was another positive result for Inter, as the players also did well to get a point away to Juventus week prior to this game. They are now undefeated in four matches, but the team still remains in the middle of the table being five points away from the European positions. Central defender Andrea Ranocchia has served his suspension, but might be benched here as Nemanja Vidic seems to be getting in a desired form. Other central defender, Juan Jesus (22/0) is banned for three more matches, unless he wins his appeal. Right midfielder Jonathan (3/0) is injured, while Xherdan Shaqiri is likely to start on the bench still not being 100% fit. Right defensive midfielder Yuto Nagatomo (11/0) is out at international duty.

Inter have won their last 6 matches against Empoli.
Empoli have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 home matches in Serie A.
Inter have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 matches against Empoli.
Results are still not showing it fully, but Inter is in constant up rise in their performances and it’s just a matter of time when the team will start getting victories in consecutive way. No doubt that games against Juventus and Genoa are a good path and I believe they will continue in the same manner, getting all three points against traditionally easier opponent for them.

Bet: Inter Wins @ 2.25

QPR vs Manchester United

QPR failed to get a positive result last weekend away to Burnley, even though it was a game against a rival that was in the same situation and surely beatable in some way. However, team from London left the field with empty hands suffering 2:1 defeat. It was their tenth defeat in as many games away from home this season.QPR vs Manchester United betting tips


Even today’s victory over Manchester United won’t save much of the season for them, but at least it would be a great morale boost for the roster. Biggest problem remains with the away matches and in case the team doesn’t improve that, it will be very hard for them to get the salvation this time. The team simply looks like having different psychology from one match to another, being unable to play in the same, reliable and confident way for consecutive matches. Central defender Rio Ferdinand (8/0) remains doubtful and might not play here with Richard Dunne who is under heavy criticism taking his place, while participation of defensive midfielder Sandro (8/0) is also questionable. Left back Yun Suk-Young (10/0) is surely out with an injury, same as offensive midfielder Alejandro Faurlin (2/0)/.



After a great run of undefeated matches where the team also had significant number of draws, Manchester United had quite poor game at home against Southampton and suffered narrow 0:1 defeat. They were slightly better, but without great goalscoring chances and without imposing fast paced tempo, but got 1:0 down in the scoreline in 69th minute, without responding correctly later on.

It was their first home defeat since the premiere game when they lost to Swansea, while the team broke a streak of eleven undefeated matches. They have a very good recent tradition playing against QPR and are surely much more superior side in many aspects, aiming nothing but the victory here. Van Persie and Falcao are expected to take their positions, while doubtful remain right back Rafael (9/0) who was missing for many weeks due injury. Ashley Young (13/0) is the only sure absentee for this game, as their injury list may be at it’s healthiest level all season. Falcao and Rooney are sure to lead their attack in a 3-5-2 formation.

Man Utd have won their last 6 matches against QPR.
Man Utd have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their last 6 matches against QPR.
Manchester United is slowly going into better and better form, even though they are not yet to be trusted fully. However, QPR is simply not at the same level and the moment and it will be very hard for them to stop offensive players from visiting side. Easy or hard, United should get the three points and bounce back to winning ways immediately.

Bet: Manchester United Wins @ 1.6