Olympique Lyon hosts Montpellier in the French League One 10th round. After a difficult start in Ligue 1, Lyon is on a roll at the moment climbing up to 8th place … 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 games and winning all last 3 home games. They also got a 1-1 draw at PSG.
Lyon has the best offense on home court in the entire League with 11 goals scored and was very dominant in the last three outings at Stade Gerland … for this game Lyon misses Fofana and Grenier. Other injury worries are Benzia and Dabo who are both questionable.
Montpellier has the same number of points as Lyon and is only one place below in the standings … Montpellier was a good away team so far this season and has the best defensive record on the road in Ligue 1, only 2 goals allowed! Last round Montpellier finished in a 1-1 draw at Nice. For the visitors today there are no sure absentees, but Deplagne and Saihi are questionable.
Lyon confirms they are a streaky team alternating horrible periods with great runs … just like they did last year. You seem to never know what to expect from Lyon, but Montpellier are a very trustworthy team with good tactical consistency and an overall consistent string of results – they lost three matches this season, all 0-1, very close … and only 1 away. Odds of 1.75 for Lyon win are a high risk and I think the road-specialists at Montpellier will produce an upset today. Their defense is very good and Lyon will not find it so easy to score as in last home matches. Lyon does not look like a team to win 4 home games in a row in such a tough and upset-prone league like the French one. My tip will be Montpellier +0,5 handicap (x2). Correct score prediction: Lyon – Montpellier 1-2.
Pick: Montpellier (+0,5 handicap)
Odds: 2.17
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